Saturday, December 05, 2009

Philip Stott's Inverted Pyramid

As I was driving up the M5 on Thursday morning, the Today Programme was finally coming to terms with Climategate. A useful debate ensued with the "skeptics" corner bravely manned by Professor Philip Stott. I really liked his contribution, not just because I think he talks a lot of sense, but more because his measured reasoning was hard to fault.

The crux of his argument rests with the notion that all of the anthropogenic global warming "fact" rests on a very small collection of temperature data. Thus all the models that have been created rely upon statistical manipulation of this data set. Stott likened this to an inverted pyramid and that if you remove or damage the upside down pinnacle of the pyramid, everything based on the small foundation will collapse.

In addition to this, Stott also introduced the observation that most of those involved with climate research are not necessarily the best qualified. Among other disciplines, he noted that most geologists have a difficult time accepting global warming as a man made problem. Although he didn't pursue this, the reason is obvious - most global warming scientists and all the politicians who accept their findings have little idea of geological time and processes. If only they would open their minds . . . . .